Welcome to the Showdown Breakdown! Today features the Ottawa Senators and Los Angeles Kings in LA.
If you are a fan of niche sports, NHL Showdown is a market you need to start investing in! The fields are massively SOFT and at FSi, we have found a sharp edge in constructing our lineups with using the scoring differences in comparison to the classic slates.
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Los Angeles -230 with an Over/Under of 6
The first question I am always asked and that I ask myself is “What to do with goalie on a showdown slate?”
Simple Answer……. There isn’t one.
When deciding whether or not to play a goalie is very much dependent on A. Price B. Matchup and C. Save Prediction. With saves being worth 0.4 points, it is certainly viable to target them on a showdown slate when they can easily eclipse 10 fantasy points with a 30 save performance. The problem is when they are as expensive as elite skaters, but run the risk of getting you WAY less than 10 and having ZERO upside.
Jonathan Quick ($7,900)
SAVE PREDICTION – 26
Mike Hogberg ($6,500) – Projected Starter
SAVE PREDICTION – 27.86
I actually expected Quick to be more expensive here. With similar save projections, I think Quick can be in play at this price as a home favorite of -230 and the Senators on a back-to-back.
TOP PRICED OPTIONS (No order of preference)
– Anze Kopitar ($11,500)
– Mark Stone ($11,000)
– Dustin Brown ($10,400)
– Ryan Dzingel ($9,900)
– Jeff Carter ($9,600)
– Drew Doughty ($9,400)
In this range, I am targeting Kings for obvious reasons. Dzingel is an easy fade in the price range of all the top skaters for LA. Also, all 4 of the Kings up here are on the first power play unit. Kopitar/Brown/Doughty stack would give you the maximum correlation with power play and even strength. Mark Stone is the most consistent player actually playing for Ottawa, so he is always in play as well.
MID PRICED OPTIONS (No order of preference)
– Brady Tkachuk ($8,300) – GPP Only (Low floor)
– Chris Tierney ($7,600) – Increased usage with Duchene on the shelf
– Colin White ($7,300) – L1 paired with Stone – GW goal in OT last night
– Bobby Ryan ($7,000) – Skating with Tierney and Dzingel – High Floor lately
– Jake Muzzin ($6,500) – Minutes are trending down – Fade for me
This price range is full of our underdog skaters. I certainly think they are in play as I will probably only have 1 or 2 Senators in my lineup. The floor for these prices is pretty solid.
LOW PRICED OPTIONS (No order of preference)
– Ilya Kovalchuk ($6,200)
– Jean-Gabriel Pageau ($5,900)
– Cody Ceci ($5,300) – High Minutes
– Dylan DeMelo ($5,200) – Lower minutes – higher usage
– Brendan Leipsic ($5,100) – Shooter
– Mikkel Boedker ($4,500) – L4… Fade
– Derek Forbort ($4,300) – High Minutes – Low usage
– Magnus Paajarvi ($3,100) – L3
– Anyone below this range is always viable as a super punt as long as they are dressed and playing if you really need the salary.
The author of this article may play in Daily Fantasy Contests using these picks and picks not mentioned in this article. It is also possible the author may change opinion on some of the picks listed based on new information not available during writing. These are recommendations meant to assist, but are not guarantees. If you have any questions, please click HERE