FSI PGA DFS Preview – No Mulligans – ZOZO Championship

FSI PGA DFS preview

ZOZO Championship @ Sherwood

Course Preview:

This week the PGA Tour heads to Thousand Oaks, California for the re-located ZOZO Championship.  The Sherwood Country Club will play host after the pandemic caused the Tour to re-work the schedule and move this event from Japan to the U.S.  This course is no stranger to the PGA Tour, having hosted the Hero World Challenge from 2000 through 2013.  Golfers will be facing a 7,100 yard, par 72, Jack Nicklaus design with bentgrass greens.

The ZOZO Championship is a no cut event with 78 golfers this year.  Many of the world’s best golfers will be competing including Jon Rahm, Justin Thomas, and Rory McIlroy.  We will also get to see the 2019 winner, Tiger Woods, and last week’s winner, Jason Kokrak.

This week we will be focusing on the best ball strikers in our stat models with a premium on approach.  We expect the winning score to be around 16 under, so we are targeting birdie makers as well.  The course features 5 par 5s and 5 par 3s, so we will add par 5 and par 3 scoring to the model.  Other stats that we will be reviewing include T2G and putting on bentgrass.

Field Size:           78

Cut/No-Cut        NO CUT

2019 Top 5:

-19 Tiger Woods

-16 Hideki Matsuyama

-13 Sungjae Im

-13 Rory McIlroy

-12 Gary Woodland

Initial players we are focusing on:

  • Jon Rahm: Rahm has only played 2 events in the new PGA Tour season, but he did get warmed up last week at the CJ Cup with a 17th place finish.  He is one of the most consistent golfers on tour and hasn’t missed a cut since the Charles Schwab in June.  Over his last 36 rounds, Rahm ranks 3rd on par 5 scoring, 2nd GIR, 3rd T2G and 6th ball striking.
  • Xander Schauffele: Xander is one of the hottest golfers on tour right now with three straight top 5s including 5th at the U.S. Open and 2nd at the TOUR Championship.  Over his last 36 rounds, Xander ranks 1st in par 5 scoring, 5th T2G, and 5th birdie or better percentage.  We think a win is coming soon for Xander as he has finished runner-up six times since his last win at the 2019 tournament of champions.
  • Matthew Fitzpatrick: Fitzpatrick recently finished 2nd place at the EURO Tour’s BMW PGA Championship.  He also tends to play very well at no cut events finishing 12 at the CJ Cup and 6th at the WGC – St. Jude earlier this year.  Over his last 36 rounds, Fitzpatrick ranks 11th in birdie or better percentage and 15th in GIR as well as 1st in putting.
  • Russell Henley: Henley has quietly been playing some great golf lately with 5 straight top 30 finishes including 3 top 10s.  Although the putter carried him last week, he has been gaining strokes in all categories over his past 10 events.  Over the last 36 rounds, Henley ranks 3rd ball striking, 4th GIR and 4th T2G.

Others to consider:

Tyrrell Hatton, Collin Morikawa, Webb Simpson, Matthew Wolff, Jason Kokrak.

 

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